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Champions League permutations: What do Real Madrid and PSG need to top group? When is last-16 draw? Who has qualified?

Michael Hincks

Updated 02/11/2022 at 09:47 GMT

The Champions League group stages conclude this week, less than three weeks before the World Cup starts. By Wednesday evening we will know all 16 teams to have qualified for the last-16 draw, and also the eight teams who will drop down to the Europa League. Bayern Munich, Chelsea and Manchester City are among the group winners, with Inter and Borussia Dortmund among the confirmed runners-up.

Marseille hoping to continue UCL underdog story against Tottenham in Group D

The mid-season World Cup has made for a frantic Champions League group-stage campaign, and it will all be over by Wednesday night.
At that point the eight group winners and eight runners-up will all be confirmed, with holders Real Madrid among the clubs who are already through – although the defending champions are yet to seal top spot.
Tottenham were in a very tight Group D that played out in thrilling fashion on Tuesday night, while PSG are also out to seal top spot on Wednesday night.
Here we run through the key details…

When is the Champions League last-16 draw?

The draw will take place on Monday, November 7 at 11am GMT. The last-16 matches will then take place in February and March.

In short: Who has qualified already?

The 14 teams to have qualified for the Champions League last 16 are...
Group winners
  • Bayern Munich
  • Chelsea
  • Manchester City
  • Napoli
  • Porto
  • Tottenham
Runners-up
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Club Brugge
  • Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Inter
  • Liverpool
Qualified but position TBC
  • Benfica
  • Paris Saint-Germain
  • Real Madrid
--

Which teams have dropped to Europa League?

Ajax, Barcelona, Leverkusen, Sevilla and Sporting are confirmed to finish third, meaning they will play in February's Europa League knockout play-offs.
Juventus are among the teams who could join them, but Atletico Madrid finished bottom of their group. Here are the permutations for Wednesday night's games...

Group E

November 2: Chelsea v Dinamo Zagreb, Milan v RB Salzburg
Chelsea are already through as group winners, meaning Milan’s clash with RB Salzburg is the one to watch. Milan will qualify if they avoid defeat, but Salzburg know victory will send them through as runners-up.

Group F

November 2: Real Madrid v Celtic, Shakhtar Donetsk v Leipzig
Defeat to Leipzig last time out means holders Real Madrid are not yet confirmed as group winners, although they are already through.
Beat Celtic and Real seal first place on Wednesday night, while Leipzig must avoid defeat to qualify ahead of Shakhtar. Leipzig could finish top if they win and Real do not.

Group G

November 2: Man City v Sevilla, FC Copenhagen v Dortmund
This group is done and dusted. City are group winners, Dortmund runners-up, Sevilla into the Europa League, and Copenhagen out.

Group H

November 2: Juventus v PSG, Maccabi Haifa v Benfica
PSG and Benfica are both on 11 points. Juventus and Maccabi Haifa are both on three points. That means Juve are out at the group stages for the first time since 2013.
PSG are out to seal top on Wednesday night, and their superior goal difference of +8 to Benfica’s +4 puts them in the driving seat after their matches with Benfica both finished 1-1.

Who could Liverpool, Tottenham, Man City and Chelsea face?

Liverpool are the only Premier League side to have finished second in their group. As you cannot face a team from the same association, or group, their potential last-16 opponents are Bayern Munich and Porto, plus the Group F and Group H winners - which could be Real Madrid and PSG.
Meanwhile, Chelsea, Manchester City and Tottenham are through as group winners and so the teams they could possibly face are:
Chelsea: Borussia Dortmund, Club Brugge, Eintracht Frankfurt, Inter - plus Group F and H runners-up
Man City: Club Brugge, Eintracht Frankfurt, Inter - plus Group E, F and H runners-up
Tottenham: Borussia Dortmund, Club Brugge, Inter - plus Group E, F and H runners-up
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