Tokyo 2020 - The Team GB stars defying predictions to pick up unexpected medals feat. Tom Daley, Tom Pidcock
The study predicted the United States to once again top the medals table in Tokyo, extending their unrivalled dominance to seven straight Games. Great Britain are expected to trail the US, the ROC, China and Japan, but have already secured several surprise medals so far. You want it? We have it. Stream every Olympic event live on discovery+.
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Great Britain are exceeding expectations in Tokyo, based on pre-Games predictions made by statisticians.
In the run up to the Games, Gracenote forecast the entire Olympics via their Virtual Medal Table and predicted Team GB to endure a significant drop-off in medals from Rio 2016, wherein 27 golds rocketed the Brits to second in the overall standings behind the United States.
A projected 14 golds in Tokyo saw Team GB fall to seventh in the predicted table and fifth in total medals overall with 52.
Lower expectations in cycling, gymnastics and rowing were cited as factors in Team GB’s potential downturn, though Gracenote did add that forecasts were likely to be “more unpredictable than normal” due to the pandemic.
However, a string of stunning performances by British athletes have seen Team GB make their greatest start to a modern Games.
Sparked by ‘Magic Monday’, a haul of 13 medals by day four emphatically eclipsed the previous best tally of six.
While Team GB are still expected to fall short of Rio’s haul, their most successful since 1908, overachievements in multiple events thus far bodes well heading into rest of the Games.
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In doing so, Dean became the first British male swimmer to win more than one gold at a Games since 1908.
There was more unexpected joy in the water in a thrilling men’s quadruple skulls final, as Harry Leask, Angus Groom, Tom Barras and Jack Beaumont rowed to a surprise silver despite not being tipped to make the podium.
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Looking ahead: On track for gold
Projecting forward, the athletics track could prove fertile ground for Team GB’s medal hopes.
Gracenote have forecast six medals in the athletics events for the Brits, with the men’s 4x100m relay team tipped for gold.
Dina Asher-Smith carries Britain’s hopes for a podium into the women’s 200m, with Laura Muir joining her in a silver medal prediction for the 1500m.
The boxing ring could also be a prosperous route to medals, with five podium finishes predicted.
Welsh middle-weight fighter Lauren Price enters the ring for her bout with Panama’s Atheyna Bylon tomorrow with a gold medal shaped target on her back, though the remaining five boxing medals are all predicted to be bronze.
The pommel horse final on August 1 will see Max Whitlock seek to defend his Olympic title, having safely navigated through qualifying in third place.
Lastly, Liam Heath is tipped for glory in the K1 200m canoe sprint, the 36-year-old having won gold in the individual 200m kayal sprint event in Rio.
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